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The
business cycle and buying a home...
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The
economy plays a vital role when we make purchases.
When the economy is healthy we tend to become comfortable
and confident, so many of us buy houses.
However, when the economy slows down, we find companies laying
off a large number of people. We make a decision to decrease
spending. Sometimes, homeowners must sell their homes because
of a company layoff, or an unavoidable relocation.
Supply and Demand
Early in the eighties and around the middle of the nineties,
the supply of available homes exceeded the supply of home-buyers.
This supply and demand effect can slow appreciation, causing
home prices to fall.
Purchasing a home in this slow period can be ideal because
you can almost always expect the economy to bounce back, allowing
your home's appreciation to build, sometimes rapidly.
Depressed Market
Because the interest rates are usually higher while the market
is depressed, the amount of people qualifying for home purchases
are exceedingly less than in prosperous times.
Why You Should Not Wait
This plan usually works best for first-time buyers. People
who already have a home usually need to sell it in order to
buy their next one. If a homeowner wants to buy a bigger,
or upscaled home during a depressed market, they usually have
to sell one during the slow market. If a homeowner wants to
sell his home to take advantage of a prosperous seller's market
when prices are fairly high, they generally have to buy their
next home during that same high market.
So, it tends to equal out.
The business cycle can change over time. Since 1983, there
were two fairly long expansions with only a minor recession
in between each. With this in mind, why wait? You would not
want to miss out on a healthy amount of appreciation, would
you? Not to mention the higher prices you may have to pay
for waiting too long to buy your home.
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